On the nonlinear stochastic realization problem

In this paper we construct a first solution of the stochastic realization problem in a nonlinear setting. The great bulk of previous work on stochastic realization has been in the linear Gaussian setting. Such Markovian representations are used e.g., to apply certain filtering and stochastic control techniques. Our methods consist of an amalgamation of methods introduced by Nelson with the Lax-Phillips type geometric approach to linear Gaussian stochastic realization which has been developed by Lindquist and Picci and by Ruckebusch. The result of this that we are able to realize any purely nondeterministic process satisfying suitable continuity conditions as an instantaneous function of a Markov process.     

A new design of the elimination and choice translating reality method for multi-criteria group decision-making in an intuitionistic fuzzy environment

The purpose of this paper is to design a new extension of the ELECTRE, known as the elimination and choice translating reality method, for multi-criteria group decision-making problems based on intuitionistic fuzzy sets. This method is widely utilized when a set of alternatives should be identified and evaluated with respect to a set of conflicting criteria by reflecting decision makers’ (DMs’) preferences. However, handling the exact data and numerical measure is difficult to be precisely focused because the DMs’ judgments are often vague in real-life decision problems and applications. A more realistic and practical approach can be to use linguistic variables expressed in intuitionistic fuzzy numbers instead of numerical data to model DMs’ judgments and to describe the inputs in the ELECTRE method. The proposed intuitionsitic fuzzy ELECTRE utilizes the truth-membership function and non-truth-membership function to indicate the degrees of satisfiability and non-satisfiability of each alternative with respect to each criterion and the relative importance of each criterion, respectively. Then, a new discordance intuitionistic index is introduced, which is extended from the concept of the fuzzy distance measure. Outranking relations are defined by pairwise comparisons and a decision graph is depicted to determine which alternative is preferable, incomparable or indifferent in the intuitionistic fuzzy environment. Finally, a comprehensive sensitivity analysis is employed to further study regarding the impact of threshold values on the final evaluation, and a comparative analysis is demonstrated with an application example in flexible manufacturing systems between the proposed ELECTRE method and the existing intuitionistic fuzzy technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (IF-TOPSIS) method.     

Arbitration procedures with multiple arbitrators

We consider two final-offer arbitration procedures in the case where there is more than one arbitrator. Two players, labeled 1 and 2 and interpreted here as Labor and Management, respectively, are in dispute about an increase in the wage rate. They submit final offers to a Referee. There are N arbitrators. Each of the arbitrators has her own assessment and selects the offer which is closest to her assessment. After that each arbitrator informs the Referee about her decision. The Referee counts the votes and declares the player obtaining the most votes to be the winner. Under the second arbitration scheme, the Referee takes into account only the assessments which lie between the players’ offers. The game is modeled as a zero-sum game. The Nash equilibrium in this arbitration game is derived.     

Analysis for some properties of discrete time Markov decision processes

This paper investigates properties of the optimality equation and optimal policies in discrete time Markov decision processes with expected discounted total rewards under weak conditions that the model is well defined and the optimality equation is true. The optimal value function is characterized as a solution of the optimality equation and the structure of optimal policies is also given.     

回收再制造与定价决策模型及供应链协调分析

假定负责废旧产品回收再制造的生产商为主导者.针对单生产商和单零售商组成的逆向供应链,分析了Stackelberg博弈(分散式控制)下和合作(集中式控制)下的零售价和回收再制造率决策,发现集中式供应链的利润较高,给出了协调供应链的利润共享合同.针对单生产商和n个竞争零售商组成的供应链,分析了一主多从Stackelberg博弈和联合决策,结果表明供应链合作可降低产品的零售价格、提高回收再制造率和供应链总利润,进而给出了协调单生产商和n个零售商决策的利润共享合同.最后的算例表明了模型的合理性和协调合同的有效性.     

基于语言评价信息的知识资本要素识别方法

知识资本是组织创造价值和获取竞争优势的关键资源, 其要素通常具有复杂的关联性, 如何识别知识资本的核心要素、原因要素和结果要素,对于组织进行知识资本管理具有重要意义.本文在构建了知识资本要素识别体系的基础上,借鉴决策试验和评价实验室报告的思想提出了一种基于语言评价信息的知识资本要素识别方法,通过处理和集结专家针对知识资本要素关联给出的语言评价信息,对知识资本要素进行排序与归类.最后通过一个实例分析说明了该方法的应用, 并说明了如何根据识别结果制定相应的策略以便进行知识资本的投资和控制.     

不完全语言信息下的多准则群决策方法研究

针对决策者所给的自然语言信息缺失判断矩阵,提出了一种基于群体满意度最大的不完全语言信息多准则群决策规划模型.首先分析决策者所给的多准则语言评价信息矩阵,进而通过三角模糊数将多准则语言评价信息矩阵转化为三角模糊数矩阵;其次根据满意度函数构建不完全语言信息多准则群决策规划模型;最后通过实例验证本方法的可行性及有效性.实例表明该方法计算简单,易操作.     

基于样本评价的广义数据包络分析方法

传统DEA方法是一种依据自评体系评价的方法,而无法自主选择参照系.为了解决DEA方法可以同时依据自评体系和其它参照系进行评价问题,首先给出了广义DEA有效的概念.然后,给出了一类基于样本单元评价的广义数据包络分析模型,包括面向输入的广义DEA模型、面向输出的广义DEA模型以及加性广义DEA模型.最后,分析了上述这些模型与传统DEA模型之间的关系,探讨了广义DEA有效与相应多目标规划Pareto有效之间的关系,并给出了决策单元的投影性质以及决策单元的有效性排序方法.     

多周期多目标条件风险值模型

在商业、工业、电力和房地产等行业中存在许多复杂的多周期风险决策问题,它的数学模型研究对于解决这些问题具有重要的作用.作者建立了一种新的多周期多目标条件风险值(CVaR)数学模型理论和方法.先定义了一种带时间段的多周期多目标损失函数下的α-VaR和α-CVaR值,给出了一类多周期多目标CVaR最优化模型.然后,证明了多目标意义下的对应模型的等价定理,给出了多周期多目标CVaR模型的近似求解等价模型.最后,建立了一种生产企业在供过于求和供不应求两种情形下产生的多周期双目标CVaR模型,针对一个电力生产企业进行的数值实验,表明了模型可以得到在最小供给的用电损失分布下的各周期下的相匹配供电策略,可以帮助供电部门各个时期供电不平衡状况下的风险控制.